Fundamental Trading Strategy Based on Interest Rate Differentials

Posted by Ahmad Hassam | Currencies | Wednesday 27 May 2009 4:18 am
by Ahmad Hassam

As a forex trader, you should be aware of the role played by the interest rate changes in the general economic and investment climate. You should know that interest rates are an essential part of investment decisions and can drive currency markets as well as the stock and commodities markets in either direction. After the unemployment figures, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate decisions are the second largest currency market moving release.

The impact of interest rate changes not only have short term consequences but also have long term consequences on forex markets. One Central Banks interest rate change decision can affect more than a single currency pair in the interrelated currency markets.

In currency trading, an interest rate differential is the difference between the base currency interest rate and the counter currency interest rate. In the pair, EUR/USD, EUR is the base currency and USD is the counter currency. The interest rate differential for the EUR/USD pair will be the difference between the Euro interest rate and the US Dollar interest rate.

Understanding the relationship between the interest rate differentials and the currency pairs can be very profitable for you as a forex trader. In addition to the Central Banks overnight interest rate decisions, expected future overnight rates as well the expected timing for the interest rate changes can be crucial to the currency pair movements.

The reason why this is profitable is that international investors like big banks, hedge funds and institutional investors are yield seekers. They actively keep on shifting funds from the low yield assets to high yield assets.

Interest rate differentials are considered to be the leading indicators for currency prices. LIBOR and the 10 year bond yields are usually used as leading indicators of currency movements.

Take an example, suppose the Australian government 10-year bond yield is 5.25%. The US government 10-year bond yield is only 1.75%. The yield spread in this case would be 350 basis points in favor of the AUD.

Suppose the Australian government raised its interest rate by 25 basis points. The Australian 10-year government bond yield would also appreciate to 5.50%. Now, the new yield spread is 375 basis points in favor of the Australian Dollar (AUD). The AUD will also be expected to appreciate against USD overtime.

The general rule of thumb is that when a yield spread increases in favor of a certain currency that currency is expected to appreciate against other currencies. This information should be very important for your trading. Use the data available on Bloomberg to keep track of currencies in the currency pairs that you trade.

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Who Needs A Subprime Home Loan?

Posted by Graham McKenzie | Real estate | Wednesday 27 May 2009 4:01 am
by Graham McKenzie

A loan with considerably high rate of interest is known as subprime home loan, and is specially designed for the high liability borrower. Such loans are usually considered to be of high risk, because they frequently contain hidden fees, charges, and high rate of interest. The only good thing about it is that, this kind of loans are offered to people having no credit, bad credit, or records that prevent them from receiving other types of loans.

Usually the loans are finalized by the organizations named Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, but this is not the case for subprime home loan. For this case of home loans, the financer has all the rights to set the rate of interests as high as they desire. That is why it is very necessary to carefully f\go through your agreement paper before signing it. You may also ask your lawyer to have a look at it for any hidden charges.

A subprime home mortgage is usually meant to be very risky for the one who applies for it. There are many people with bad credit record and less income applying for subprime loan and the insurer wishes to make the most of this arrangement. The lender approves their loan, but tries to make as much profit as possible out of it. They offer these loans with very high rates of interests and with several hidden charges.

There are however certain benefits of getting a subprime home loan. Under circumstances when your credit is so bad that no other financers are ready to lend you money, but you have money to easily pay the monthly installments, you can opt for the subprime home loan. Getting your credit score back on the track may take several years, and there are times when you need money urgently. You can later improve your credits by making timely payments and getting your loan amount refinanced.

This is where many mortgage brokers get you with subprime home loans. You may discover down the road that your payment plan is not beneficial for your needs and you want to refinance. You may not be able to do this if there are fees stated in your original agreement. These fees can be so high that it renders you impossible to refinance, leaving you stuck in payments that you may not be able to afford.

The easiest way to avoid getting scammed, and to find the best loan out there for you, is to find a quality mortgage broker. Before choosing the broker to handle your loans you will want to search around and meet with several different brokers. By doing this you will get a good idea of their practices and be able to choose the one that is less likely to give you a bad deal. You can investigate a specific broker by searching their name online, at the Better Business Bureau, or by calling the company that they work for.

Get a subprime loan only if you are certain that it is the most suitable choice for you. Your agent will inform you about diverse other ways to get a loan on the basis of your financial condition. Don?t hurry and take enough time to explore all options and different types of loans available. Also ensure that you read the agreement well before accepting it.

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House Rent Birmingham Is Up There With The Best When Looking For A Great Work-life Balance.

Posted by David Bungay | Real estate | Wednesday 27 May 2009 3:49 am
by David Bungay

Birmingham is a great place to live with much on offer. House rent Birmingham is both cost effective and enjoyable since there are many areas of the city offering different benefits.

Always consider when you look for house rent Birmingham that some cheaper suburbs have much on offer culturally. For example, the Soho road and all its small, independent shops and stalls in Handsworth, the music scene in Digbeth and around Moseley and the vibrancy and multi-culturalism of Selly Oak with all its shops, restaurants and bars. In areas such as the above, you will get more house for your money.

The cultural offerings and activities can be great fun and hugely appealing to those seeking a more vibrant area to live – particularly young individuals and couples. However, house rent Birmingham also offers more up-market areas, which although they cannot match the vibrancy of an area such as Selly Oak, they do provide an array of attractions.

Clearly, as with all up-market areas, locations such as Edgbaston, Harborne, Moseley and Bournville are relatively quiet, safe and full of quality shops, restaurants, bars and public areas. The other thing that house rent Edgbaston, house rent Harborne,

Moseley and Bournville all have in common is the range of quality accommodation. Whether the houses be terraced, end-terrace, semi-detached, or totally detached, there is no shortage of well appointed and spaciously arranged property. Two, three and four bedroom houses are aplenty in all suburbs, with five, six and more bedroom properties relatively common in Moseley, Harborne and Edgbaston in particular.

These are usually accompanied by spacious gardens and nearby park areas, allowing plenty of outdoor activity space for dog-walking and jogging adults, and playful children alike. Edgbaston is filled with green space and stunning, well-established trees, and in combination with its proximity to the city centre, attractive university area (the internationally acclaimed University of Birmingham), and breath-takingly enormous QE hospital, it is undoubtedly one of the most appealing sub-urbs in any city in the UK.

House rent in Harborne and Bournville also offer much in the way of spacious, often Victorian property, plus the added bonus of decent shops and such like on tap. Moseley does likewise, offering less in the way of private green space, but making up for it with a vast array of great restaurants, shops and night spots.

Although the house rents in these up-market areas are not low (certainly higher than in the cheaper suburbs mentioned earlier), they are significantly lower than you would be paying in an equivalent area in much of the rest of the country, particularly the south east. Clearly, when this is considered alongside the fantastic transport links (London is only one hour and twenty minutes, even the Lake District is under two and a half hours away), one of the largest hospitals in Europe (the Queen Elizabeth) and a leading (and quite beautiful university), it makes house rent Birmingham a great value, lifestyle improving option.

House rent Birmingham offers something for everyone so, whatever your pre-conceived ideas may be, don’t knock it until you have tried it – you may well be pleasantly surprised.

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How do Stock Prices Change?

Posted by Robbin Carols | Investing | Wednesday 27 May 2009 3:41 am
by Robbin Carols

If you purchase stocks, there are two main ways you can make money from the purchase. First of all, you can be paid dividends. When a corporation makes a profit, they may decide to pay some of it as dividends to their shareholder such as $1 a year per share, but this isn’t guaranteed.

Capital gains are another way to profit from stock purchases. You buy the stock at one price and at a future time, whether it’s in an hour or in 20 years, you sell it for a higher price. After you take the difference, the amount you sold it for over the amount you paid is a capital gain.

When investors purchase stock, they are doing it in hopes of making capital gains. Those in retirement usually look for dividend paying stock because it is a stable source of income. Otherwise, dividends are just a bonus to the investment.

In order to make capital gains, the stock price has to go up. The stock price can go up or down. It varies from day to day. How can you know it will go up and how exactly does it change?

The price of stocks goes up and down the same way that the price of anything else goes up and down. It is an economic principle of supply and demand. Maybe you remember that from your economic class.

When the supply increases and the demand stays the same, the price will decrease. When the demand increases and the supply stays the same, the price increases. They vary inversely and the price adjusts along with them.

With stocks, if a lot of people want to buy a particular stock and not enough people are selling, they will have to raise the price to accommodate for it. If there are more people looking to sell than people willing to buy, they will need to decrease the price to get people to buy.

Once you understand supply and demand, you can understand how to make capital gains. You should try to purchase stocks that you feel will be a very popular buy in the future.

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Morningstar Review – Free vs Premium Membership

Morningstar is one of the most respected financial research firm and it offers a free and premium membership for regular investors like us who want up to date, honest and comprehensive research news and tools.  Here’s a review that takes a look at the free vs premium membership that Morningstar offers to see which one is for you.

Click here to sign up for Morningstar’s free or premium memberships

Morningstar Free Membership

morningstarAs I’ve mentioned before, I’m less concerned with the research that the stock brokers provide because I’m a member of the Morningstar program.  With the free service, I can research on any fund, stocks as well as read up on what other people think about the investments by going through the articles and message boards that Morningstar provides.  There’s also a basic portfolio manager that comes with the free membership, so if you want to have a play portfolio to test out your strategies, you can use that as well.

For something that’s free, the services are actually quite good.

Morningstar Premium Membership

Of course, Morningstar would like you to pay for its premium membership but what’s in it for us?  Here are a few features:

Advanced Analyst Research

You know all those analyst research reports that people talk about but you never see on the web?  A bunch of them comes from Morningstar.  With the premium membership, you get access to the research report on the stocks and funds that you are interested in so you can trade and invest like the professionals.

Portfolio X-Ray

The X-ray portfolio is actually extremely useful in diversification because it allows you to figure out not only the sectors that you are invested in but geographical information as well.  In fact, Barron’s named it “Best of the Web” five years in a row.

Rating System

Some of you may be familiar with Morningstar’s rating system for your 401k funds.  With the premium membership, you get access to this for every fund as well as stocks so you can just invest in the ones that are graded the highest.

Free vs Premium Membership

Signing up for one of the memberships is a no-brainer, but why would you want to pay?

Why Free Membership

If you are skeptical about the tools outlined, you may want to just sign up for the free membership to try it out before you look into the premium membership at a later date.  It’s free and I must say that it’s helped make me tons of money so there’s no reason not to sign up (Click here to do so).

Why Premium Membership

The x-ray portfolio is amazing but I really like the grading systems that they have.  While I won’t exclusively invest based on their rating system, it doesn’t hurt to get another confirmation that the stock I like is a buy.  Right now, they are also offering potential customers a 14-day free trial, so why not give it a spin?


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